Manhattan at Towson: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 7:00 pm - Towson, MD
Odds: Manhattan by 12, Total Points: 125.5

More Games From Dec 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN TOWS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MAN TOWS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 58.4
Field Goal % 38.3% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.3 19.6
Free Throw % 73.2% 66.3%
Ball Control MAN TOWS
Rebounds 28.3 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 14.5
Turnovers 11.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.1
Steals 6.3 6.9
Fouls 12.1 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN TOWS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MAN TOWS
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 22.6%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.0%
Turnover 16.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN TOWS
Shot Blocked 8.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 40.5%