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Manhattan at Samford: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 19, 2019 7:30 pm - Birmingham, AL
Odds: Samford by 4, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: MAN @ SAM

More Games From Nov 19, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN SAM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MAN SAM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 59.5
Field Goal % 41.2% 53.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 43.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 20.4
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.7%
Ball Control MAN SAM
Rebounds 31.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.9
Turnovers 15.0 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.2
Steals 7.5 9.5
Fouls 15.0 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN SAM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MAN SAM
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.9%
Player Fouled 19.0% 20.2%
Turnover 20.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 12.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN SAM
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 28.4%