S Alabama at Auburn: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 4, 2020 9:00 pm - Auburn, AL
Odds: Auburn by 11, Total Points: 141.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA AUB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USA AUB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 59.5
Field Goal % 33.8% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 34.8% 65.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 25.5
Free Throw % 74.7% 74.8%
Ball Control USA AUB
Rebounds 27.6 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.9
Turnovers 11.7 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 8.2
Steals 5.5 7.1
Fouls 17.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA AUB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USA AUB
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 25.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.0%
Turnover 15.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA AUB
Shot Blocked 13.9% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 35.0%