IUPUI at Wright St: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Feb 16, 2020 2:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Wright St. by 16.5, Total Points: 156.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU WRST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting INDPU WRST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 57.3
Field Goal % 46.4% 60.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 67.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 43.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 21.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.6%
Ball Control INDPU WRST
Rebounds 25.6 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 16.8 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.0
Turnovers 13.7 11.7
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 17.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU WRST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with INDPU WRST
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 19.4%
Player Fouled 18.4% 23.2%
Turnover 18.6% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU WRST
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 34.8%