S Alabama at GA Southern: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 1, 2020 4:00 pm - Statesboro, GA
Odds: Georgia Southern by 3.5, Total Points: 143

More Games From Feb 1, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA GASO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USA GASO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 58.3
Field Goal % 52.9% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 22.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 35.5
3 Point Shooting % 48.6% 28.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 16.4
Free Throw % 74.6% 64.8%
Ball Control USA GASO
Rebounds 32.8 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 18.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 13.6
Turnovers 16.0 14.1
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.1
Steals 7.0 8.9
Fouls 14.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA GASO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USA GASO
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 26.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 41.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.4%
Turnover 22.7% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA GASO
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 35.3%