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Southern at Alab A&M : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 6:00 pm - Normal, AL
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU ALAM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SOU ALAM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 56.1
Field Goal % 47.1% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 15.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 26.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 23.2
Free Throw % 70.1% 67.0%
Ball Control SOU ALAM
Rebounds 41.2 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 11.3
Turnovers 7.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.7
Steals 4.8 2.7
Fouls 16.3 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU ALAM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SOU ALAM
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 18.7%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.7%
Turnover 11.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 3.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU ALAM
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 40.4% 29.8%