S Dakota St at Kansas City: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 8:05 pm - Kansas City, MO
Odds: South Dakota State by 10, Total Points: 138.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST KC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDST KC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 59.0
Field Goal % 47.1% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 27.0
2 Point Shooting % 56.0% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 32.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 15.3
Free Throw % 73.5% 72.1%
Ball Control SDST KC
Rebounds 34.4 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.7 10.2
Turnovers 11.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.7
Steals 5.3 6.0
Fouls 13.3 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST KC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDST KC
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 33.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 39.6%
Player Fouled 27.7% 19.1%
Turnover 16.2% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST KC
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 26.2%