TX A&M-CC at Central Mich: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 7:00 pm - Mount Pleasant, MI
Odds: Central Michigan by 9.5, Total Points: 128

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC CMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting AMCC CMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 56.0
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 42.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 25.9
Free Throw % 70.7% 75.7%
Ball Control AMCC CMU
Rebounds 34.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 9.5
Turnovers 19.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 3.0
Steals 5.4 10.6
Fouls 19.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC CMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with AMCC CMU
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.1% 26.5%
Turnover 25.9% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 14.3% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC CMU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 26.7%