N Illinois at Grand Canyon: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 10, 2025 9:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Grand Canyon by 22, Total Points: 163

Matchup Menu: NIU @ GCU

More Games From Nov 10, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU GCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIU GCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 54.2
Field Goal % 35.2% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 63.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 31.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 25.5
Free Throw % 67.2% 76.4%
Ball Control NIU GCU
Rebounds 29.3 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.3 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.6
Turnovers 15.1 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.4 5.8
Steals 5.1 8.0
Fouls 19.8 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU GCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIU GCU
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 24.5%
Player Fouled 25.2% 27.7%
Turnover 21.2% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU GCU
Shot Blocked 10.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 35.4%