N Illinois at W Illinois: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 20, 2019 8:30 pm - Macomb, IL
Odds: Northern Illinois by 7, Total Points: 146.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU WIU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIU WIU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 61.6
Field Goal % 41.2% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.1
Free Throw % 67.4% 62.4%
Ball Control NIU WIU
Rebounds 35.2 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 16.2
Turnovers 8.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.0
Steals 4.9 4.8
Fouls 14.5 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU WIU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIU WIU
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 20.8%
Turnover 12.6% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU WIU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 39.3%