Houston Bap at TX Christian: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 25, 2020 8:00 pm - Fort Worth, TX
Odds: Texas Christian by 30, Total Points: 156

More Games From Nov 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HBU TCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HBU TCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 59.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 21.0
Free Throw % 72.8% 62.7%
Ball Control HBU TCU
Rebounds 29.5 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.3
Turnovers 13.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 6.8 7.0
Fouls 15.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HBU TCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HBU TCU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.5% 21.3%
Turnover 17.9% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HBU TCU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 33.9%