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Connecticut at Tulsa: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 6, 2020 7:00 pm - Tulsa, OK
Odds: Tulsa by 3, Total Points: 126

Matchup Menu: CONN @ TLSA

More Games From Feb 6, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN TLSA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CONN TLSA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 53.7
Field Goal % 50.2% 34.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 61.1% 39.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 26.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 21.0
Free Throw % 75.1% 73.6%
Ball Control CONN TLSA
Rebounds 43.5 27.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 20.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 6.5
Turnovers 8.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.1
Steals 5.9 5.4
Fouls 15.9 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN TLSA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CONN TLSA
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 23.3%
Player Fouled 22.6% 22.7%
Turnover 12.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN TLSA
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 37.4% 17.3%