Connecticut at Houston: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 23, 2020 9:00 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 9.5, Total Points: 129

More Games From Jan 23, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN HOU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CONN HOU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 58.6
Field Goal % 36.0% 34.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 39.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 23.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 24.2
Free Throw % 69.6% 72.2%
Ball Control CONN HOU
Rebounds 39.0 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 16.4
Turnovers 13.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.5
Steals 4.2 6.0
Fouls 18.6 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN HOU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CONN HOU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 22.1%
Player Fouled 27.2% 27.6%
Turnover 19.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN HOU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.7% 38.8%