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N Illinois at SIU Edward: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 2:00 pm - Edwardsville, IL
Odds: SIU Edwardsville by 2.5, Total Points: 134

Matchup Menu: NIU @ SIUE

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU SIUE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NIU SIUE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 62.1
Field Goal % 45.9% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.7 20.8
Free Throw % 67.4% 73.2%
Ball Control NIU SIUE
Rebounds 37.3 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 11.8
Turnovers 11.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.3
Steals 3.9 6.2
Fouls 14.2 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU SIUE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NIU SIUE
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 25.4% 20.0%
Turnover 15.9% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU SIUE
Shot Blocked 5.4% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 29.1%