Connecticut at Cincinnati: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 12, 2019 8:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: Cincinnati by 11, Total Points: 134

More Games From Jan 12, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN CIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CONN CIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 56.8
Field Goal % 39.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.6% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 23.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 68.4%
Ball Control CONN CIN
Rebounds 38.1 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 11.3
Turnovers 13.1 14.6
Blocked Shots 7.1 5.1
Steals 6.6 6.0
Fouls 17.4 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN CIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CONN CIN
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 18.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 23.4%
Turnover 17.6% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN CIN
Shot Blocked 9.2% 11.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 31.2%