Alabama St at Tennessee: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 20, 2019 7:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 28, Total Points: 139

More Games From Nov 20, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALST TENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALST TENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 58.0
Field Goal % 26.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 27.9% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 24.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 28.3
Free Throw % 72.4% 75.5%
Ball Control ALST TENN
Rebounds 32.6 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 13.0
Turnovers 11.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.9
Steals 6.4 6.3
Fouls 18.8 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST TENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALST TENN
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 33.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.8% 33.3%
Player Fouled 17.4% 25.8%
Turnover 15.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST TENN
Shot Blocked 12.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 37.2%