Alabama St at Marshall : Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 11, 2011 7:30 pm - Huntington, WV
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Nov 11, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALST MRSH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 67.8 60.5
Field Goal % 36.6% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 46.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 38.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 30.1
Free Throw % 61.9% 72.7%
Ball Control ALST MRSH
Rebounds 41.9 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 15.8 9.4
Turnovers 13.9 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 4.2 6.2
Fouls 20.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALST MRSH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALST MRSH
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 25.5%
Turnover 17.4% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALST MRSH
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 26.4%