Alabama St at Southern: Recap

Monday Feb 9, 2026 9:00 pm - Baton Rouge, LA
Odds: Southern by 6.5, Total Points: 149

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Southern ALST 30.5%
SOU 69.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
ALST +6.5 ALST 52.3%
SOU 47.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 149.0 Over 52.1%
Under 47.9%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
ALST +245 ALST +1.5%
SOU -5.5%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ALST 72.0 71.2 68
SOU 77.9 77.8 69

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALST SOU
Points/Game 71.5 76.4
Avg Score Margin -6.1 -4.5
Assists/Game 11.7 13.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.4 34.7
Effective FG % 47.1% 48.9%
Off Rebound % 30.2% 29.0%
FTA/FGA 0.349 0.410
Turnover % 15.6% 14.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALST SOU
Opp Points/Game 77.6 80.9
Opp Effective FG % 52.2% 53.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 10.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 21.9 21.8
Blocks/Game 3.8 3.6
Steals/Game 7.9 8.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.1 19.6