This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2015-2016 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2016-2017 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

TX Christian at Colorado St : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 14, 2012 9:00 pm - Fort Collins, CO
Odds: Colorado St. by 8.5, Total Points: 150.5

More Games From Jan 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU COST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TCU COST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 55.1
Field Goal % 43.4% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 26.8
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.3%
Ball Control TCU COST
Rebounds 34.8 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.3
Turnovers 9.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.0
Steals 6.0 3.7
Fouls 20.4 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU COST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TCU COST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 30.1%
Player Fouled 26.6% 28.0%
Turnover 12.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU COST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 28.7%