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Indiana at Rutgers: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 3, 2022 4:00 pm - Piscataway, NJ
Odds: Indiana by 3, Total Points: 135

Matchup Menu: IND @ RUTG

More Games From Dec 3, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND RUTG
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IND RUTG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 62.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 34.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 38.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 27.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 19.7
Free Throw % 65.9% 67.7%
Ball Control IND RUTG
Rebounds 41.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 31.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 12.3
Turnovers 13.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.4 4.7
Steals 4.9 8.3
Fouls 14.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND RUTG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IND RUTG
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 19.8%
Turnover 19.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.7% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 28.0%