VA Tech at Maryland : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 2:30 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Virginia Tech by 2, Total Points: 130.5

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VTEC UMD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VTEC UMD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 56.9
Field Goal % 35.2% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 37.7% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.1% 43.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 19.9
Free Throw % 59.9% 71.7%
Ball Control VTEC UMD
Rebounds 36.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 7.4
Turnovers 10.3 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.4 8.7
Steals 3.5 6.6
Fouls 17.3 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VTEC UMD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VTEC UMD
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.3% 34.1%
Player Fouled 25.8% 24.6%
Turnover 14.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken VTEC UMD
Shot Blocked 15.4% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 24.4%