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VA Tech vs. Michigan St: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 25, 2019 5:00 pm - Lahaina, HI (Neutral Site)
Odds: Michigan St. by 13, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: VT @ MSU

More Games From Nov 25, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT MSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VT MSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 57.7
Field Goal % 42.9% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 16.9
Free Throw % 79.8% 72.5%
Ball Control VT MSU
Rebounds 30.0 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 9.6
Turnovers 10.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.3
Steals 4.2 6.5
Fouls 14.2 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT MSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VT MSU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 21.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.9%
Turnover 15.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT MSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 29.1%