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W Kentucky vs. VCU

  Sunday Nov 20, 2011 - 12:00 pm - Charleston, SC (Neutral Site) | Odds: VCU by 9.5, Total Points: 130.5 | Team Pages: WKEN | VCU

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKEN VCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting WKEN VCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 58.2
Field Goal % 40.5% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 23.5
Free Throw % 64.1% 66.7%

Ball Control WKEN VCU
Rebounds 37.0 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.6
Turnovers 14.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.9
Steals 3.8 8.3
Fouls 16.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKEN VCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with WKEN VCU
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 24.2% 23.4%
Turnover 20.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 5.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken WKEN VCU
Shot Blocked 8.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 27.9%