UC Riverside at UCSB: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 25, 2020 10:00 pm - Santa Barbara, CA
Odds: UC Santa Barbara by 6.5, Total Points: 127

More Games From Jan 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCRV UCSB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 50.8
Field Goal % 43.9% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 12.5 18.2
Free Throw % 70.3% 73.8%
Ball Control UCRV UCSB
Rebounds 31.4 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.6
Turnovers 11.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.2
Steals 3.5 4.2
Fouls 17.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV UCSB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCRV UCSB
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.4% 26.9%
Turnover 18.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV UCSB
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 23.5%