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at Northwestern: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Dec 29, 2019 4:00 pm - Evanston, IL
Odds: Northwestern by 16, Total Points: 136

Matchup Menu: @ NW

More Games From Dec 29, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.9 57.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.6 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 46.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.4 18.1
Free Throw % 60.7% 75.6%
Ball Control NW
Rebounds 25.4 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.1 9.0
Turnovers 15.4 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.5
Steals 4.1 7.9
Fouls 14.9 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NW
2 Point Attempt 38.0% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.8% 22.6%
Turnover 23.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NW
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 30.8%