Maryland ES at Morehead St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 16, 2019 6:00 pm - Morehead, KY
Odds: Morehead St. by 16.5, Total Points: 131

More Games From Nov 16, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMES MORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 58.1
Field Goal % 35.7% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 24.1% 26.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 21.2
Free Throw % 62.8% 62.0%
Ball Control UMES MORE
Rebounds 36.0 43.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 11.2
Turnovers 10.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 4.9
Steals 5.9 5.1
Fouls 15.8 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES MORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMES MORE
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 17.3% 22.0%
Turnover 15.1% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES MORE
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 30.2%