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Maryland ES at Coppin St: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 13, 2012 9:00 pm - Baltimore, MD
Odds: Coppin St. by 11, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: UMES @ COPP

More Games From Feb 13, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES COPP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UMES COPP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 54.2
Field Goal % 39.3% 37.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 28.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 17.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.6%
Ball Control UMES COPP
Rebounds 38.4 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.8
Turnovers 14.0 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 8.2 7.3
Fouls 14.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES COPP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UMES COPP
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.2%
Turnover 20.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES COPP
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 27.0%