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Iowa at Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Tuesday Dec 2, 2025 7:00 pm -
East Lansing, MI
Odds:
Michigan State by 4.5,
Total Points:
134
Matchup Menu: IOWA @ MSU
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Model | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan St -4.5 | Official TR Pick | Michigan St 52% odds to cover |
| Michigan St -4.5 | Power Rating Model | Michigan St 60% odds to cover |
| Michigan St -4.5 | Decision Tree | Michigan St 52% odds to cover |
| Michigan St -4.5 | Predictive Ratings | Michigan St 54% odds to cover |
| Iowa +4.5 | Similar Games | Iowa 64% odds to cover |
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 17-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-14-0 | 11-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 7-9-1 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 10-7-1 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Robert Morris | -22.5 | W by 32 | +9.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | W Illinois | -31.0 | W by 19 | -12.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 19 | +4.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | SE Missouri St | -23.5 | W by 29 | +5.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Chicago St | -32.5 | W by 39 | +6.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Mississippi | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Grand Canyon | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Michigan St | +4.5 | L by 19 | -14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland | -10.5 | W by 19 | +8.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | Iowa St | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | W Michigan | -25.5 | W by 40 | +14.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Bucknell | -25.0 | W by 55 | +30.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | UMass Lowell | -33.0 | W by 28 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | UCLA | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Minnesota | -5.0 | L by 3 | -8.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Illinois | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Indiana | +3.5 | W by 17 | +20.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rutgers | -17.5 | W by 6 | -11.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | USC | -9.0 | W by 1 | -8.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Oregon | -9.5 | W by 18 | +8.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Washington | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Northwestern | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Maryland | -11.0 | L by 7 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Purdue | +1.0 | L by 21 | -20.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Nebraska | (Pick) | W by 5 | +5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Penn St | -9.5 | L by 2 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Michigan | +9.5 | L by 3 | +6.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Nebraska | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Maryland | -11.5 | W by 11 | -0.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Ohio St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Clemson | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Florida | +10.5 | W by 1 | +11.5 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Illinois | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03 | Home | Colgate | -22.0 | W by 11 | -11.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | San Jose St | -24.5 | W by 19 | -5.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 17 | +20.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Detroit Mercy | -30.5 | W by 28 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | E Carolina | -20.0 | W by 33 | +13.0 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | North Carolina | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Iowa | -4.5 | W by 19 | +14.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Duke | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Penn St | -12.5 | W by 4 | -8.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Toledo | -23.0 | W by 23 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oakland | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Cornell | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Nebraska | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | USC | -12.0 | W by 29 | +17.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Northwestern | -13.0 | W by 10 | -3.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Washington | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Oregon | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -18.5 | W by 43 | +24.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Minnesota | -8.5 | L by 3 | -11.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Illinois | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.0 | L by 21 | -23.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | UCLA | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Purdue | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Indiana | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Rutgers | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 03/08 | Away | Michigan | +10.5 | L by 10 | +0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | UCLA | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | N Dakota St | -15.5 | W by 25 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Louisville | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 03/27 | Neutral | UConn | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |