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Iowa at Wisconsin : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 31, 2011 1:00 pm - Madison, WI
Odds: Wisconsin by 17, Total Points: 124

More Games From Dec 31, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IOWA WISC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 57.6
Field Goal % 48.9% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 16.9
Free Throw % 67.5% 68.6%
Ball Control IOWA WISC
Rebounds 34.1 30.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.2
Turnovers 11.5 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.0
Steals 4.2 6.0
Fouls 15.0 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IOWA WISC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IOWA WISC
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 28.2%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.4%
Turnover 17.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken IOWA WISC
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 27.5%