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Austin Peay at E Kentucky: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 29, 2011 7:00 pm - Richmond, KY
Odds: Austin Peay by 1, Total Points: 133.5

Matchup Menu: PEAY @ EKY

More Games From Dec 29, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PEAY EKY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PEAY EKY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.6 59.5
Field Goal % 40.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.2 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 23.3
Free Throw % 70.9% 69.3%
Ball Control PEAY EKY
Rebounds 35.6 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.3
Turnovers 6.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.0
Steals 5.9 3.4
Fouls 15.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PEAY EKY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PEAY EKY
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 50.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 20.7%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.7%
Turnover 9.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 4.8% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PEAY EKY
Shot Blocked 10.1% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 34.6%