Ark Pine Bl at Grambling St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 6:30 pm - Grambling, LA
Odds: Grambling State by 8, Total Points: 124

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB GRAM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARPB GRAM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 55.6
Field Goal % 36.7% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 23.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 66.1%
Ball Control ARPB GRAM
Rebounds 34.5 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 9.6
Turnovers 13.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.9
Steals 5.0 8.0
Fouls 14.3 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB GRAM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARPB GRAM
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 16.4%
Player Fouled 23.2% 20.1%
Turnover 18.5% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 11.3% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB GRAM
Shot Blocked 7.3% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 28.5%