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Ark Pine Bl at Pittsburgh: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 21, 2019 7:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Pittsburgh by 23.5, Total Points: 125

Matchup Menu: ARPB @ PITT

More Games From Nov 21, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB PITT
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARPB PITT
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 64.9
Field Goal % 36.5% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 64.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 27.5 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.8
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.0%
Ball Control ARPB PITT
Rebounds 27.6 45.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 5.0 13.4
Turnovers 11.9 6.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 5.5
Steals 3.0 6.5
Fouls 15.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB PITT
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARPB PITT
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 38.3%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.0%
Turnover 16.7% 8.5%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB PITT
Shot Blocked 8.5% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 13.7% 37.2%