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Ark Pine Bl at Air Force : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 10, 2011 9:00 pm - Colorado Springs, CO
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Dec 10, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring APB AFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting APB AFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 44.5
Field Goal % 39.9% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 24.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 58.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 32.9
Free Throw % 64.5% 71.1%
Ball Control APB AFA
Rebounds 28.2 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.9
Turnovers 15.6 14.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 1.6
Steals 8.4 8.7
Fouls 23.1 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APB AFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with APB AFA
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 30.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 32.7%
Turnover 22.0% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken APB AFA
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 30.9%