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Ark Pine Bl at Cincinnati: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 21, 2011 7:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

Matchup Menu: ARPB @ CIN

More Games From Dec 21, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARPB CIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ARPB CIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 68.6
Field Goal % 35.8% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 37.4% 66.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 32.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.4
Free Throw % 75.0% 68.9%
Ball Control ARPB CIN
Rebounds 25.5 49.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 16.8
Turnovers 12.2 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.1 6.0
Steals 4.0 6.3
Fouls 14.2 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARPB CIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ARPB CIN
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 31.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.3%
Turnover 16.5% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARPB CIN
Shot Blocked 8.7% 1.9%
Offensive Rebound 14.2% 45.7%