Tulsa at E Carolina: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 14, 2012 1:00 pm - Greenville, NC
Odds: East Carolina by 1, Total Points: 130.5

More Games From Jan 14, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA ECU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TLSA ECU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 54.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 26.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.7 16.4
Free Throw % 70.1% 71.5%
Ball Control TLSA ECU
Rebounds 34.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.5
Turnovers 12.2 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.3
Steals 7.2 6.5
Fouls 13.9 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA ECU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TLSA ECU
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 28.5% 19.7%
Turnover 17.2% 19.2%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA ECU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 24.4%