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Tulsa at Oklahoma St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 30, 2011 8:00 pm - Stillwater, OK
Odds: Oklahoma State by 5, Total Points: 130.5

Matchup Menu: TLSA @ OKST

More Games From Nov 30, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring TLSA OKST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TLSA OKST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 56.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 25.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 32.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.2%
Ball Control TLSA OKST
Rebounds 31.8 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 9.6
Turnovers 11.7 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 8.2 6.3
Fouls 15.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TLSA OKST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TLSA OKST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 30.6%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.8%
Turnover 16.2% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TLSA OKST
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 27.7%