Oakland at Arizona: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 8:00 pm - Tucson, AZ
Odds: Arizona by 9.5, Total Points: 155

More Games From Dec 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK ARIZ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OAK ARIZ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 61.4
Field Goal % 35.9% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 37.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 20.6
Free Throw % 67.9% 72.6%
Ball Control OAK ARIZ
Rebounds 32.2 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.1
Turnovers 14.5 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.6
Steals 3.3 6.8
Fouls 16.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK ARIZ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OAK ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.5%
Turnover 20.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK ARIZ
Shot Blocked 7.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 33.8%