Oakland at UMKC: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 23, 2012 8:05 pm - Kansas City, MO
Odds: Oakland by 6, Total Points: 148

More Games From Feb 23, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OAK KC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OAK KC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 46.0 57.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.0 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 29.1 11.8
Free Throw % 67.9% 68.4%
Ball Control OAK KC
Rebounds 34.7 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.7
Turnovers 13.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 5.5 6.8
Fouls 12.7 22.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OAK KC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OAK KC
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 29.9%
Player Fouled 31.9% 18.4%
Turnover 20.0% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken OAK KC
Shot Blocked 6.6% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 22.6%