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Canisius at Iona

  Thursday Feb 2, 2012 - 7:00 pm - New Rochelle, NY | Odds: Iona by 24.5, Total Points: 148 | Team Pages: CAN | IONA

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN IONA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting CAN IONA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 55.5
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.6% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 37.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 21.4
Free Throw % 71.5% 69.7%

Ball Control CAN IONA
Rebounds 38.5 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 9.0
Turnovers 9.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 5.4 5.1
Fouls 15.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN IONA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with CAN IONA
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 36.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 18.2% 22.3%
Turnover 13.0% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.6%

Odds Per Shot Taken CAN IONA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 26.5%