This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

Canisius at Buffalo: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Buffalo, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 10.5, Total Points: 138.5

Matchup Menu: CAN @ BUFF

More Games From Nov 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAN BUFF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CAN BUFF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 66.2 59.2
Field Goal % 43.5% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 29.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 14.1
Free Throw % 59.8% 71.6%
Ball Control CAN BUFF
Rebounds 42.6 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 8.2
Turnovers 10.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.6
Steals 5.9 5.3
Fouls 12.5 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAN BUFF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CAN BUFF
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 25.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 17.7%
Turnover 14.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAN BUFF
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 37.3% 23.0%