TN Tech at NC-Grnsboro: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 15, 2019 7:00 pm - Greensboro, NC
Odds: UNC Greensboro by 15.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Nov 15, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TNTC UNCG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 67.7
Field Goal % 39.4% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 28.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 30.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 15.6
Free Throw % 67.7% 65.2%
Ball Control TNTC UNCG
Rebounds 35.7 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 14.2
Turnovers 17.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.8
Steals 5.0 8.2
Fouls 13.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC UNCG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TNTC UNCG
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 31.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 18.5%
Turnover 23.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC UNCG
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 34.1%