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TN Tech at W Virginia : Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 19, 2011 7:00 pm - Morgantown, WV
Odds: West Virginia by 16, Total Points: 139.5

More Games From Dec 19, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting TNTC WVIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.5 57.2
Field Goal % 35.5% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.2 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 30.6
Free Throw % 72.3% 69.4%
Ball Control TNTC WVIR
Rebounds 30.0 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 13.2
Turnovers 18.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.3
Steals 4.6 8.6
Fouls 21.7 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TNTC WVIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with TNTC WVIR
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 22.9%
Player Fouled 25.6% 29.3%
Turnover 25.1% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TNTC WVIR
Shot Blocked 11.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 38.8%