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Southern Miss vs. Texas St: Recap

Friday Mar 6, 2026 6:00 pm - Pensacola, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Texas State by 1.5, Total Points: 140.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Texas St USM 43.7%
TXST 56.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
TXST -1.5 USM 46.7%
TXST 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 140.5 Over 50.2%
Under 49.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off USM -3.9%
TXST -1.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
USM 69.1 69.5 81
TXST 71.5 71.0 77

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat USM TXST
Points/Game 73.9 71.9
Avg Score Margin -0.9 -0.6
Assists/Game 11.2 12.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 35.9 34.8
Effective FG % 49.0% 50.0%
Off Rebound % 30.8% 32.1%
FTA/FGA 0.432 0.340
Turnover % 15.8% 16.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat USM TXST
Opp Points/Game 74.8 72.5
Opp Effective FG % 51.4% 52.0%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.7 9.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 22.8 21.9
Blocks/Game 3.6 3.6
Steals/Game 7.3 7.9
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 18.2