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Saturday Jan 17, 2026 4:30 pm -
San Marcos, TX
Odds:
Texas State by 2,
Total Points:
140.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | USM | 45.0% | ||
| TXST | 55.0% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -2.0 | USM | 49.9% | ||
| TXST | 50.1% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 140.5 | Over | 48.3% | ||
| Under | 51.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | USM | -1.5% | ||
| TXST | -2.5% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 68.9 | 69.2 | 67 |
| TXST | 70.9 | 71.2 | 74 |
| Stat | USM | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 72.4 | 71.3 |
| Avg Score Margin | -2.4 | -0.9 |
| Assists/Game | 11.0 | 12.5 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 35.4 | 35.4 |
| Effective FG % | 48.5% | 49.3% |
| Off Rebound % | 29.6% | 31.6% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.436 | 0.340 |
| Turnover % | 16.0% | 16.4% |
| Stat | USM | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 74.8 | 72.2 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 52.5% | 51.3% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 9.3 | 9.3 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 23.0 | 22.2 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.3 | 3.8 |
| Steals/Game | 7.4 | 8.4 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 19.3 | 18.2 |
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