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UCSB at S Utah: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Dec 14, 2019 4:00 pm - Cedar City, UT
Odds: Southern Utah by 1.5, Total Points: 135

Matchup Menu: UCSB @ SUU

More Games From Dec 14, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSB SUU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCSB SUU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 59.7
Field Goal % 51.0% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.8 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 13.0 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 29.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.0
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.3%
Ball Control UCSB SUU
Rebounds 36.3 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 8.4
Turnovers 11.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.8
Steals 4.9 6.1
Fouls 16.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSB SUU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCSB SUU
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.9% 25.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 23.3%
Turnover 16.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSB SUU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 23.1%