UCSB at UC Davis: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 13, 2020 10:00 pm - Davis, CA
Odds: UC Santa Barbara by 3.5, Total Points: 139

More Games From Feb 13, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSB UCD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCSB UCD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 48.4
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 30.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 24.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 82.3%
Ball Control UCSB UCD
Rebounds 36.3 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 4.3
Turnovers 9.7 14.9
Blocked Shots 1.1 1.4
Steals 5.9 4.4
Fouls 19.4 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSB UCD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCSB UCD
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 38.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 22.6%
Player Fouled 26.5% 26.1%
Turnover 13.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSB UCD
Shot Blocked 3.0% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 14.5%