UCSB at Lg Beach St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 22, 2012 11:00 pm - Long Beach, CA
Odds: Long Beach St. by 7.5, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Feb 22, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSB LBSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UCSB LBSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 52.3
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.1
Free Throw % 73.6% 66.0%
Ball Control UCSB LBSU
Rebounds 35.1 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 7.1
Turnovers 11.6 13.4
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.0
Steals 5.7 3.8
Fouls 15.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSB LBSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UCSB LBSU
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 20.9%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.9%
Turnover 16.9% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSB LBSU
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 22.8%