Florida at Rutgers: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 29, 2011 7:00 pm - Piscataway, NJ
Odds: Florida by 9, Total Points: 142.5

More Games From Dec 29, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FLA RUTG
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FLA RUTG
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 63.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 37.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 45.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 40.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 27.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 24.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 67.6%
Ball Control FLA RUTG
Rebounds 46.5 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 31.9 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.6 11.4
Turnovers 12.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 6.4 4.9
Steals 6.5 7.1
Fouls 16.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA RUTG
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FLA RUTG
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 19.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.3%
Turnover 16.1% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.9% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 37.2% 26.3%