Florida vs. St Josephs: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 21, 2019 2:00 pm - Charleston, SC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Florida by 13, Total Points: 147

More Games From Nov 21, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FLA STJOE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.2
Field Goal % 53.1% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.4% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 42.3% 31.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 20.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 68.7%
Ball Control FLA STJOE
Rebounds 44.4 27.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.9 19.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.0
Turnovers 12.4 15.4
Blocked Shots 6.1 1.5
Steals 7.3 5.7
Fouls 16.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FLA STJOE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FLA STJOE
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.9%
Turnover 15.9% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FLA STJOE
Shot Blocked 2.6% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 40.5% 20.6%