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S Carolina at Auburn: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 22, 2020 7:00 pm - Auburn, AL
Odds: Auburn by 11.5, Total Points: 147

Matchup Menu: SCAR @ AUB

More Games From Jan 22, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR AUB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCAR AUB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.0
Field Goal % 35.3% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 38.1% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 35.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 21.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 74.8%
Ball Control SCAR AUB
Rebounds 35.4 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 9.4
Turnovers 9.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 7.7
Steals 4.4 5.6
Fouls 15.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR AUB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCAR AUB
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.9% 22.0%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.9%
Turnover 13.8% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR AUB
Shot Blocked 13.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 28.9%